{"id":255722,"date":"2005-04-23T07:55:00","date_gmt":"2005-04-22T23:55:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/articles.ricacorp.com\/?p=255722"},"modified":"2019-04-12T15:39:41","modified_gmt":"2019-04-12T07:39:41","slug":"%e8%b1%aa%e5%ae%85%e7%82%92%e4%bd%9c%e6%98%af%e6%9c%80%e5%a4%a7%e7%9a%84%e6%b3%a1%e6%b2%ab1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ricacorp.com.cn\/articles\/2005\/04\/23\/%e8%b1%aa%e5%ae%85%e7%82%92%e4%bd%9c%e6%98%af%e6%9c%80%e5%a4%a7%e7%9a%84%e6%b3%a1%e6%b2%ab1\/","title":{"rendered":"\u8c6a\u5b85\u7092\u4f5c\u662f\u6700\u5927\u7684\u6ce1\u6cab(1)"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u8b80\u8005\u674e\u5148\u751f\u770b\u4e86\u6211<\/span>3<\/font><\/span>\u6708<\/span>18<\/font><\/span>\u65e5\u300a\u614e\u9632\u7b2c\u4e8c\u500b97<\/span>\u6ce1\u6cab\u300b<\/font><\/a>\u4e00\u6587\u5f8c\uff0c\u63d0\u51fa\u4e00\u4e9b\u770b\u6cd5\u548c\u6211\u8a0e\u8ad6\ufe5d\u4f86\u4fe1\u898b\u9644\u6587\ufe5e\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/font><\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

\u6211\u540c\u610f\u9999\u6e2f<\/span>97<\/font><\/span>\u548c\u73fe\u5728\u7684\u5730\u7522\u6ce1\u6cab\u60c5\u6cc1\u6709\u6240\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u7684\u6ce1\u6cab\u8986\u84cb\u9762\u8f03\u5ee3\uff0c\u4e0d\u4f46\u767c\u751f\u9999\u6e2f\u3001\u6fb3\u9580\u3001\u4e2d\u570b\uff0c\u9084\u767c\u751f\u5728\u6b50\u6d32\u3001\u7f8e\u570b\uff0c\u4f46\u672a\u81f3\u65bc\u5168\u7403\u6027\u3002<\/span><\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/font><\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5c0e\u81f4<\/span>97<\/font><\/span>\u5730\u7522\u6ce1\u6cab\u4e3b\u8981\u56e0\u70ba\u571f\u5730\u9577\u671f\u4f9b\u61c9\u4e0d\u8db3\ufe5d\u5f97\u6b78\u548e\u653f\u5e9c\u6bcf\u5e74<\/span>50<\/font><\/span>\u516c\u9803\u571f\u5730\u4f9b\u61c9\u7684\u653f\u7b56\ufe5e\u53ca\u8ca0\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u73fe\u6642\u7684\u6ce1\u6cab\u4ea6\u540c\u6a23\u6709\u4eba\u70ba\u6e1b\u5c11\u571f\u5730\u53ca\u6a13\u5b87\u4f9b\u61c9\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u81ea<\/span>98<\/font><\/span>\u5e74\u8d77\uff0c\u7279\u5340\u653f\u5e9c\u505c\u6b62\u8ce3\u5730\uff0c\u6539\u7528\u52fe\u5730\u5236\u7b56\uff0c\u505c\u552e<\/span>20,000<\/font><\/span>\u591a\u500b\u5c45\u5c4b\u55ae\u4f4d\u53ca\u51cd\u7d50\u5169\u9435\u6cbf\u7dda\u672a\u767c\u5c55\u7684\u4f4f\u5b85\u9805\u76ee\ufe5d\u6d89\u53ca\u55ae\u4f4d\u4e94\u842c\u9918\u500b\ufe5e\uff0c\u6240\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\uff0c\u73fe\u6642\u7684\u6ce1\u6cab\u4e0d\u518d\u53d7\u8ca0\u5229\u7387\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u800c\u53d7\u5f31\u7f8e\u5143\u53ca\u7a7a\u524d\u504f\u4f4e\u7684\ufe5d\u5b58\u6b3e\u3001\u6309\u63ed\u53ca\u501f\u8cb8\ufe5e\u5229\u7387\u6240\u5f71\u97ff\u3002\u5b58\u6b3e\u5229\u7387\u8fd1\u5e7e\u65bc\u96f6\uff0c\u9a45\u4f7f\u4e0d\u7518\u88ab\u9280\u884c\u525d\u524a\u7684\u5b58\u6236\u5c07\u8cc7\u91d1\u6295\u5165\u623f\u5730\u7522\u53ca\u80a1\u7968\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u6975\u5ea6\u504f\u4f4e\u7684\u6309\u63ed\u53ca\u501f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\u8a98\u4f7f\u4eba\u5011\u76e1\u60c5\u501f\u8cb8\uff0c\u5c07\u8cb8\u6b3e\u6295\u5165\u623f\u5730\u7522\u5e02\u5834\u3002\u7576\u7136\uff0c\u767c\u5c55\u5546\u53ca\u9280\u884c\u5408\u4f5c\u70ae\u88fd\u7684\u5bec\u9b06\u8cb8\u6b3e\u653f\u7b56\u4ea6\u76f4\u63a5\u6216\u9593\u63a5\u9f13\u52f5\u623f\u5730\u7522\u7684\u7092\u8ce3\uff0c\u4eba\u5011\u5f80\u5f80\u7528<\/span>5<\/font><\/span>\u81f3<\/span>10%<\/font><\/span>\u9996\u671f\u5c31\u53ef\u8cfc\u5165\u4e00\u624b\u6a13\u5b87\u3002<\/span><\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/font><\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

\u88fd\u9020\u5169\u500b\u6ce1\u6cab\u6709\u4e00\u9ede\u5b8c\u5168\u76f8\u540c\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u767c\u5c55\u5546\u53ca\u5730\u7522\u4ee3\u7406\u7684\u4e92\u76f8\u548c\u61c9\uff0c\u5927\u4e8b\u5531\u597d\u53ca\u5584\u65bc\u9020\u52e2\u3001\u7528\u52e2\uff0c\u4ee4\u5e02\u6c11\u57fa\u65bc\u6050\u61fc\u6216\u8caa\u5ff5\u800c\u722d\u5148\u6050\u5f8c\u5165\u5e02\uff0c\u505a\u4e86\u50bb\u74dc\u53cd\u800c\u6cbe\u6cbe\u81ea\u559c\u3002<\/span><\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/font><\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

\u81ea<\/span>03<\/font><\/span>\u5e74<\/span>6<\/font><\/span>\u6708\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u4e2d\u4e0b\u50f9\u6a13\u666e\u904d\u5347\u4e86\u767e\u5206\u4e4b\u516d\u3001\u4e03\u5341\uff0c\u4f46\u8207\u8c6a\u5b85\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u537b\u662f\u5c0f\u5deb\u898b\u5927\u5deb\u3002\u6700\u8fd1\u897f\u4e5d\u9f8d\u7684\u51f1\u65cb\u9580\u958b\u76e4\uff0c\u5c31\u4ee4\u4eba\u773c\u754c\u5927\u958b\ufe30\u300c\u5927\u5b85\u9580\u300d<\/span>(2,517<\/font><\/span>\u544e<\/span>)<\/font><\/span>\u7b49\u5206\u5c64\u55ae\u4f4d\uff0c\u544e\u50f9\u7531<\/span>20,000<\/font><\/span>\u5143\u81f3<\/span>25,000<\/font><\/span>\u5143\uff1b\u300c\u81f3\u5c0a\u9580\u300d<\/span>(3,465<\/font><\/span>\u544e<\/span>)<\/font><\/span>\u5247<\/span>25,000<\/font><\/span>\u5143\u81f3<\/span>28,000<\/font><\/span>\u5143\uff0c\u5927\u5ec8\u9802\u7684\u300c\u5929\u969b\u7368\u7acb\u5c4b\u300d\u5c31\u66f4\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e86\uff0c\u544e\u50f9\u7531<\/span>31,000<\/font><\/span>\u81f3<\/span>38,000<\/font><\/span>\u5143\u3002\u9019\u4e9b\u5929\u50f9\u5275\u51fa\u5168\u6e2f\u5206\u5c64\u8c6a\u5b85\u544e\u50f9\u7d00\u9304\uff0c\u5df2\u8d85\u903e<\/span>97<\/font><\/span>\u7684\u5206\u5c64\u8c6a\u5b85\u50f9\u683c\u751a\u9060\u3002\u5927\u5bb6\u9084\u8981\u8a18\u5f97\u4e00\u9ede\uff0c\u897f\u4e5d\u9f8d\u4e0d\u662f\u50b3\u7d71\u9ad8\u5c1a\u4f4f\u5b85\u5340\uff01<\/span><\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/font><\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

\u51f1\u65cb\u9580\u4e00\u5f79\uff0c\u767c\u5c55\u5546\u7684\u5305\u88dd\u548c\u9020\u52e2\u4ee4\u4eba\u5606\u70ba\u89c0\u6b62\uff0c\u5e36\u52d5\u4e86\u6574\u500b\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u4ee4\u623f\u5730\u7522\u6ce1\u6cab\u66f4\u5f62\u81a8\u8139\u3002<\/span><\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/font><\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5927\u5bb6\u8a66\u60f3\u60f3\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u544e\u50f9<\/span>25,000<\/font><\/span>\u5143\u7684\u300c\u5927\u5b85\u9580\u300d\u53ca\u300c\u81f3\u5c0a\u9580\u300d\uff0c<\/span>34,000<\/font><\/span>\u81f3<\/span>35,000<\/font><\/span>\u5143\u7684\u300c\u5929\u969b\u7368\u7acb\u5c4b\u300d\uff0c\u65e5\u5f8c\u662f\u5347\u6613\u9084\u662f\u8dcc\u6613\uff1f\u7e31\u4f7f\u9999\u6e2f\u7d93\u6fdf\u74b0\u5883\u5927\u4f73\uff0c\u5b83\u5011\u8981\u5347<\/span>20%<\/font><\/span>\u5bb9\u6613\u55ce\uff1f\u76f8\u53cd\u5730\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u7d93\u6fdf\u8f49\u5f31\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u8dcc\u6389\u767e\u4e4b\u4e09\u3001\u56db\u5341\u56f0\u96e3\u55ce\uff1f<\/span><\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/font><\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

\u6211\u6562\u65b7\u8a00\uff0c\u4ee4\u6b21\u7684\u623f\u5730\u7522\u6ce1\u6cab\u4e0d\u7206\u5247\u5df2\uff0c\u7206\u5fc5\u81ea\u8c6a\u5b85\u59cb\uff0c\u800c\u8dcc\u5e45\u4ea6\u5fc5\u6700\u5927\uff0c\u7e31\u4f7f\u8c6a\u5b85\u4f9b\u61c9\u77ed\u7f3a\u4ea6\u963b\u6b62\u4e0d\u4e86\u9019\u7a2e\u8da8\u52e2\u3002\u66f4\u4f55\u6cc1\uff0c\u6240\u8b02\u4f9b\u61c9\u77ed\u7f3a\uff0c\u4e0d\u5916\u662f\u4eba\u70ba\u7684\u7092\u4f5c\u548c\u5c6f\u7a4d\u5c45\u5947\u3002\u64da\u5730\u653f\u7f72\u7d71\u8a08\uff0c\u53bb\u5e74\u8c6a\u5b85\u5165\u4f4f\u91cf\u50c5\u4e94\u767e\u500b\uff0c\u7a7a\u7f6e\u91cf\u5247\u9ad8\u9054\u4e03\u5343\u516b\u767e\u500b\uff0c\u5275\u904e\u53bb\u5341\u5e74\u65b0\u9ad8\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u4e0d\u5c11\u8c6a\u5b85\u55ae\u4f4d\u8cb7\u5bb6\u5165\u5e02\u50c5\u4f5c\u6295\u6a5f\u6216\u6295\u8cc7\u7528\u9014\u3002<\/span><\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/o:p><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

\uff5e\u5f85\u7e8c\uff5e<\/span><\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

\u9644\u6587<\/span><\/b><\/o:p><\/span><\/b><\/p>\n

 <\/o:p><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

Dear<\/span> Mr <\/span>Wong,<\/o:p><\/span><\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/o:p><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

I agreed your arti\u00adcle dat\u00aded 18 March Total\u00adly in<\/o:p><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

Centanet.com. But one thing<\/span> <\/span>  <\/span> <\/span>I must men\u00adtion that the<\/o:p><\/span><\/font><\/p>\n

dif\u00adfer\u00adence <\/span>between sit\u00adu\u00ada\u00adtion of HK in 1997 &2005 is:<\/o:p><\/span><\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/o:p><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

Now the prop\u00ader\u00adty foam not only in HK but<\/o:p><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

World\u00adwide (include Chi\u00adna & Macau). The main rea\u00adson is<\/o:p><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

the <\/span>low inter\u00adest rate & weak US dol\u00adlar poli\u00adcies of US<\/o:p><\/span><\/font><\/p>\n

govt.<\/span><\/o:p><\/span><\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/o:p><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

Also, the low\u00adest inter\u00adest rate of HK (about 1.75%<\/span> gap<\/span><\/o:p><\/span><\/font><\/p>\n

Com\u00adpared with US) also stim\u00adu\u00adlate the foam.<\/o:p><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/o:p><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

I do not doubt the foam in HK but doubt that if US,<\/o:p><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

HK & China\u2019s prop\u00ader\u00adty foam burst at the same<\/o:p><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

time(<\/span>because of strong US dol\u00adlar or spe\u00adcif\u00adic cri\u00adsis<\/o:p><\/span><\/font><\/p>\n

like <\/span>SARS),the con\u00adse\u00adquence will be sig\u00adnif\u00adi\u00adcant.<\/o:p><\/span><\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/o:p><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

Pls <\/span>advise<\/o:p><\/span><\/font><\/p>\n

Look\u00ading for\u00adward to your ear\u00adly reply<\/o:p><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

Regards<\/o:p><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

Ray\u00admond Lee<\/o:p><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/font><\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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